Skip to main content

correlation is not causation

I have been learning about deep learning and machine learning in general. One struck me is that all of this mapping from input to output could be done accurately by the machine, in some respect even better than human.

It got me thinking that those mapping from input to output, many people would be easily deceived that it is a causation relationship but in fact many of them would be in correlation relationship.

this is tricky, because the confusion between the two would be dangerous. Or at least in some applications we could say that is not just one. two or even x inputs that causes a certain output.

I think the world kind of confused which one is correlation and which one is causation. It is very time consuming and energy intensive to establish a causation theory. Most people would just give up or mislead their way of thinking.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Very Old Youtube video ... babbling about myself having mid-life crisis

Enjoy :)

why I put all or most my money into technology sector

Technology role is to move something from scarcity to abundance. Everyone wants it. Who wants to live in scarcity? Think about all the technology that we use today: Apple, Amazon, smartphone, TV, facebook, social media, netflix, etc. You might think that technology also 'create' loneliness, well technology is a tool just like a knife we could use them to kill ourselves or use them to make a delicious dish. Besides what is the other option? Technology is a creation of wealth, that market/people could use and enjoy it. But on the other hand creation is also destruction . Why is that? Everytime we create something that the market value, it will destroy something that the 'old' market value. It is just 2 sides of the same coin, we could not avoid it. But on the aggregate what we create is more positive than we 'destroy'. Look at the revolution from agriculture to industrial age. what do we create? thousands or millions of job to the machinist, people who oper...

The Case for Tesla

What is Tesla moat? Moat is define by what is the core strength of company(Tesla) that prevent other players to compete with it and as such unable to provide value to the market. Scale Effects: Tesla has been ramping up their car production up to 6000/week, they have been learning the hard way to ramp up their production hell season. The gigafactory: They have investing a lot in their gigafactory for their battery technology and according to Ark Invest and Mark Munro (on youtube) their battery technology is superior (about 3 years advance than others) plus the fact they own their own factory. The battery is the ICE world is like the engine part. While BMW, Mercedez and other cars company seems to just outsource their battery technology to third party instead of making on their own. So, there are 2 points here: one is the battery technology is superior, and two is Tesla control the battery availability and they make sure the supply is there. The first point probably is kind of de...